Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000137 0.000151 0.000166 0.000183 0.000201 0.000222 0.000246
2025-11-02 0.000109 0.000129 0.000152 0.000180 0.000214 0.000255 0.000307
2025-11-09 0.000093 0.000115 0.000143 0.000179 0.000227 0.000287 0.000369
2025-11-16 0.000080 0.000104 0.000134 0.000177 0.000234 0.000311 0.000423
2025-11-23 0.000071 0.000095 0.000126 0.000172 0.000238 0.000330 0.000471
2025-11-30 0.000065 0.000090 0.000124 0.000175 0.000251 0.000362 0.000541
2025-12-07 0.000061 0.000086 0.000122 0.000178 0.000264 0.000396 0.000618
2025-12-14 0.000055 0.000080 0.000117 0.000175 0.000267 0.000414 0.000671
2025-12-21 0.000050 0.000074 0.000110 0.000168 0.000264 0.000421 0.000708
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000071 0.000107 0.000169 0.000273 0.000449 0.000782
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000068 0.000105 0.000170 0.000282 0.000478 0.000862
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000065 0.000102 0.000168 0.000286 0.000497 0.000926
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000062 0.000100 0.000169 0.000295 0.000530 0.001025
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.000059 0.000097 0.000167 0.000299 0.000553 0.001109
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000057 0.000095 0.000167 0.000307 0.000582 0.001211
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000054 0.000091 0.000164 0.000309 0.000603 0.001297
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000051 0.000087 0.000160 0.000308 0.000616 0.001368
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000050 0.000087 0.000162 0.000320 0.000659 0.001517
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000049 0.000087 0.000165 0.000334 0.000708 0.001689
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000046 0.000084 0.000162 0.000334 0.000725 0.001784
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000043 0.000079 0.000156 0.000328 0.000726 0.001835
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000042 0.000078 0.000157 0.000336 0.000764 0.001994
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000041 0.000077 0.000158 0.000345 0.000804 0.002171